109 Activity by APRM Objective Improve the quality of budget estimates Expected Results as Specified in the NPoA Estimates are more realistic Programming is more realistic Required Actions as Specified in NPoA Schedule Put in place revenue forecast tools 2009-2011 Improve the expenditure programming tools. Indicative Actions Progress Toward Achieving Results (change in basic conditions of expected results) Main Monitoring & Evaluation Agency Existence of a revenue forecast model With the support of the US Treasury, the Ministry of Finance (MEF) received technical assistance for the design of a budget revenue forecasting model known as “Revenue Forecast Model (MPR)”. The latter is available and operational. In 2010, it was used for budget revenue projections (internal resources component), in the preparation of the Medium Term Expenditure Framework (MTEF) DGB, DEP, DGEP Discrepancies between programming and actual expenditures DGB, DEP, DGEP Main Stakeholders Remarks/ Observations MEF and other ministries; TFPs, private sector This scientific model makes annual revenue projections based on previous performance. The results of the projections are based on the actual performance by type of revenue of each revenue agency MEF and other ministries; TFPs; Private sector. Activities for Subsequent Phase

Select target paragraph3