327
Ethiopia has great agricultural potential because of its vast areas of fertile land,
diverse climate, generally adequate rainfall, and large labour pool. Notwithstanding
this potential, Ethiopian agriculture has remained underdeveloped. Drought,
repeatedly affecting the country since the early 1970s, a poor economic
base (low productivity, weak infrastructure, and low level of technology), and
overpopulation, are factors determining poor agricultural sector performance.
For instance, according to the World Bank, between 1980 and 1987 agricultural
production dropped at an annual rate of 2.1 percent, whilst population grew at an
annual rate of 2.4 percent. Consequently, the country faced a tragic famine that
resulted in the death of nearly 1 million people, from 1984 to 1986.
328
Industrial development in Ethiopia is still in its infancy and has a narrow base,
tied to the agriculture sector. The share of the industrial sector, including
manufacturing, construction, hydropower, and mining, has not exceeded 14
percent of GDP on average. The manufacturing sub-sector (cottage industries,
small and micro-enterprises and medium- and large-scale manufacturing
industries) accounts for only about 5.5 percent of GDP, on average. Similarly,
the average share of manufactured products to total exports does not exceed
5.0 percent of GDP. Nevertheless, due to an array of reforms - opening up the
economy and creating a conducive investment environment in recent years steady growth in industrial production and trade has been registered. There
has also been a surge in investments, sustained export growth, and increased
employment generation.
329
One of the government strategies - the Industrial Development Strategy - aims
to accelerate economic development and improve living standards. The strategy
is based on the ADLI and has been implemented since 2001/02. The underlying
objective of the strategy is to increase benefits earned from economic integration,
with the ultimate goal of becoming an industrialised country; enable all industries
to utilise their full capacity in order to increase production and productivity;
establish and expand industries that are labour intensive and use domestic raw
materials; strengthen private sector participation in the development process;
and, increase the industrial sector’s share of GDP, its employment generation
capacity, as well as its contribution to foreign exchange earnings.
330
This involves strengthening inter-sectoral linkages (between agriculture and
industry) on the domestic front, and exploiting the potentials and opportunities
of regional and global economic integration. The rural-centred ADLI - within
the framework of a free market economy - is the principal driving force of this
strategy.
- 139 -