The Africa Governance Report
Each period as yielded varying degrees of economic performance.
Recent economic performance on the continent is mixed. The global financial and economic
crisis of 2008/2009 hampered growth in countries that were exposed to external shocks. Africa
rebounded from the 2009 slowdown to a high growth rate of 5.4 per cent in 2010. Recent
fluctuations in commodity prices have affected Member States differently, with non-oil exporting
countries recording increases in GDP growth rates and the economies of oil exporting countries
suffering.
6.2.2
National Development Planning and Poverty
The World Bank and the United Nations have defined people living in poverty as those who live
on less than USD 1.25 a day. In this report however, the poverty headcount measure is derived
from national poverty lines.
On this basis, regional aggregate data reveals that northern Africa, which posts low to medium
GDP growth, also has the lowest incidence of poverty as measured through the Poverty
Headcount Ratio. On the other hand, the south, which has a 100 per cent occurrence of NDPs
and a reasonably high prevalence of medium and high real GDP growth rates posts very
high levels of poverty, with 88 per cent of countries posting poverty levels of 50 per cent or
greater. Similarly, the central Africa region has a high prevalence of poverty, although this is
commensurate with low to medium GDP growth rates. The distribution of poverty in the eastern
region matches the levels of real GDP growth, with 67 per cent of countries posting moderate
levels of poverty. In west Africa, 64 per cent of countries have moderate levels of poverty of
between 20 and 50 per cent and only 36 per cent have poverty levels exceeding 50 per cent,
which is in tandem with the distribution of real GDP growth across the region. This means that
on average, real GDP growth for countries in the south and central regions of Africa is not as
inclusive as that of the north and the east of Africa.
Figure 3: Poverty Headcount Ratios at National Poverty Lines by Region
Source: World Bank, 2007-2017.
6.2.3
Human Development Index
The African Union Agenda 2063 explicitly mentions development in two of its seven aspirations:
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