APRM • SECOND COUNTRY REVIEW REPORT OF THE REPUBLIC OF KENYA
333.
Fiscal decentralization featured prominently in the CSAR’s reports and makes clear that
the Government has pursued several reforms so as to strengthen the management of the
decentralised fiscal resources. In its submission, the CSAR acknowledges that the devolution
of functions has created new challenges with respect to PFM; and stresses that there should
be new financial rules and practices to effectively manage sub-national borrowing in order
to ensure fiscal discipline and sustainability. It notes that the county governments have
embraced the need for citizen engagement in developing budgets but little has been done
in the area of transparency with most budgets not publicly available.
4.5.2 Findings of the Country Review Mission
4.5.2.1 Progress Made Since 2006
Fiscal Outlook
334.
Contours of fiscal performance are instructive. The total revenue of the government
averaged 25.9% of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) between 2006 and 2013. The ratio
of total expenditure (including net lending) to GDP rose from 29.2% in 2010/2011 to 30.9%
in 2013/2014 and fell to 29.8% in the fiscal year 2014/2015. Compositionally, the recurrent
expenditure-GDP ratio, which averaged declined 20.6% annually in between 2010/2011
and 2011/2012 fell to 19.6% in 2013/2014–2014/2015 period. Over the same periods, the
proportion of development (capital) expenditure in GDP increased from 9.0% to 10.3%.
Therefore, emphasis has shifted to development expenditure so as to accelerate economic
growth. This is good and there is need to sustain this budget culture. Budget deficit has
climbed from 4.0% of GDP in the period of fiscal stimulus to 6.5% in 2014 and it was
financed through domestic and external borrowing. Public debt has risen but it remains
within manageable levels as it rose from 36% of GDP in 2008 to 48.6% at the end of 2013.
Debt sustainability analysis (DSA) shows that Kenya has a favourable debt outlook.
Figure 15: Summary of Actual Expenditure Accounts (KShs billion and Percent), 2012/2013
Recurrent expenditure
190,6;
17%
Development expenditure
312,5; 28%
| 156 |
611,7;
55%
Consolidate fund
Select target paragraph3
Connect to a paragraph
Connect to an entity
Disable highlights
Add to table of contents