109
Activity by APRM
Objective
Improve the quality
of budget estimates
Expected Results
as Specified in the
NPoA
Estimates are more
realistic
Programming is
more realistic
Required Actions as
Specified in NPoA
Schedule
Put in place revenue
forecast tools
2009-2011
Improve the
expenditure
programming tools.
Indicative Actions
Progress Toward
Achieving Results
(change in basic
conditions of
expected results)
Main Monitoring
& Evaluation
Agency
Existence of a
revenue forecast
model
With the support of
the US Treasury,
the Ministry of
Finance (MEF)
received technical
assistance for the
design of a budget
revenue forecasting
model known as
“Revenue Forecast
Model (MPR)”. The
latter is available
and operational. In
2010, it was used
for budget revenue
projections (internal
resources
component), in the
preparation of the
Medium Term
Expenditure
Framework (MTEF)
DGB, DEP,
DGEP
Discrepancies
between
programming and
actual
expenditures
DGB, DEP,
DGEP
Main
Stakeholders
Remarks/
Observations
MEF and other
ministries;
TFPs, private
sector
This scientific
model makes
annual revenue
projections based
on previous
performance. The
results of the
projections are
based on the
actual
performance by
type of revenue of
each revenue
agency
MEF and other
ministries;
TFPs;
Private sector.
Activities for
Subsequent
Phase