and the politics of population census. Each of these policy instruments
has spawned its own processes, dynamics and political contestations,
and effects on the governance of Nigeria. The abysmal symptoms of this
distributive strategy – massive corruption due to a patronage system;
electoral irregularities; insidious, built-in violence as a result of competition
for resources; and incredible poverty in the midst of plenty – have led to
the presumed failure of Nigerian federalism.
112.
If the federal distributive strategy constitutes the structural barrier to
realising a true federalism in Nigeria, then its superstructure is an
institutionalised oligarchy rule, which is the main impediment to deepening
democracy in Nigeria. Distributive federalism relies on two main structural
factors: first, the total economic dependence on the redistribution of
petroleum and gas revenues, and, secondly, the centralisation of resources
in a dominant executive (presidency). Thus, the redistribution of centralised
resources creates a patronage system whereby the states and regional
interests rely solely on the centre for continuing resources because of
the lack of diversified sources of revenue. The redistribution of patronage
among regional and state interests constitutes a national oligarchy which
needs to hold on to power and have continuous access to central resources
through any means necessary, including rigging elections, organising
violence, constantly reshuffling alliances and avoiding institutionalising
political parties.
113.
In practice, the informal exercise of power by the Nigerian political
oligarchy exerts more control than do the formal institutions. The formal
and informal powers converge in the office of the president, who uses the
enormous resources at his disposal to reward and cement his patrimonial
networks. It is this oligarchic control of the political power system that
constitutes a major obstacle to the realisation of democracy in Nigeria
with its attendant complexities and dynamics.
114.
Unlike the political oligarchies found in other countries, the Nigerian
oligarchy is fluid and adaptable, with membership from ethnic, religious
and regional segments, where participation is accessible to an array of
business interests, politicians, traditional rulers, professional groups,
top public servants and even civic and religious leaders. The oligarchic
character of Nigeria’s political economy accounts for the profound
inequalities, the contested legitimacy of the state and the fragility of
political alliances.
115.
The nature of oligarchic rule in Nigeria implies that there is constant
bargaining among political elites to maintain consensus and control.
Thus, the political system is sustained by shifting, accommodating and
renegotiating overcentrally distributed rents and access to spoils and
patronage. In practical terms, this can mean ‘zoning’ to an ethnic candidate,
changing revenue-allocation formulas to favour certain regions, selection
of party candidates from the centre, or awarding contracts to particular
individuals or groups.
116.
Another feature of oligarchic rule in Nigeria is its exclusionary nature.
The patronage system excludes most citizens from effective participation
or a voice as a result of the lack of internal governance of political parties.
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