Mobilising domestic resources and diversifying the economy
511.
According to the CSAR, the government of Nigeria has attempted to
diversify the economy and mobilise domestic resources better through port
concessions, reforming the customs service, increasing tariffs on utilities,
expanding businesses by creating micro-credit facilities, consolidating the
banking sector, and establishing a Revenue Mobilisation, Allocation and
Fiscal Committee.
512.
Several challenges remain, however. The economy is still heavily dependent
on crude oil revenues, the manufacturing sector remains weak, and the
agricultural sector is still not able to meet the food requirements of the
economy. In order to diversify effectively for sustainable development, the
CSAR suggests: developing agriculture and other sectors to create jobs
and reduce poverty; creating public awareness of macroeconomic policies
for sustainable development; capping agricultural-sector interest rates
at 5 per cent to increase agricultural production; making food security
a priority (particularly food storage, processing and packaging) in order
to reduce wastage and encourage farmers to increase output; promoting
rural information centres to improve access to information on markets
and services; and granting soft loans to members of the youth corps on
completion of their service so as to enable them to start businesses.
Vulnerability to internal and external shocks
513.
The CSAR notes that recent policy measures have been fairly successful
in mitigating Nigeria’s vulnerability to internal and external shocks. It
observes, for example, that since 2003 Nigeria’s current account surplus
balance has increased from -3.4 per cent of GDP in 2002 to 20 per cent in
2005. Net foreign assets have also increased in the past five years from
18.14 per cent of GDP in 2002 to 25.96 per cent and 29.43 per cent in
2004 and 2005 respectively.
514.
Other major steps taken by Nigeria to reduce its vulnerability to internal
and external shocks include: benchmarking the budget on an oil price that
is lower than the actual market price in order that it may act as a cushion
against future shocks; better prioritising capital budget expenditures;
establishing a formal CMC to match expenditures to revenues, manage
bulk releases of the capital budget and ensure that deficit ceilings are not
breached; ensure collaboration between the executive and the legislature
in estimating annual budgets; implementing value-for-money measures
through the Due Process Office; estimating budgets for 2003 to 2005
using the very clear and transparent objectives of the newly introduced
Fiscal Strategy Paper (this has undoubtedly improved the allocation
process); establishing macroeconomic stability through monetary policy;
and auctioning foreign exchange by issuing CBN and Treasury bills.
515.
While acknowledging these positive developments, the CSAR expresses
concerns about the overwhelming dependence of the economy on oil
revenue. It is also concerned about persistent social unrest, particularly
in the volatile oil-producing Niger Delta region where unrest is caused by
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