move upward again, and the exceptional assistance provided by donors during
2008/09 falls away. This is reflected in a decline in foreign exchange inflows,
declines in external reserves - measured in terms of months of import cover,
a drop in remittance inflows, and a close to 11 percent depreciation of the Birr
in the last 1 year, as reported by the African Development Bank. Declines in
international commodity prices (e.g. coffee), a fall in tourist receipts and in inflows
of foreign direct investments over the same period, have also been associated
with the global economic crisis. The challenge for Ethiopia is to devise measures
that will cushion the country from the adverse impacts of the global economic crisis.
Fiscal Policy
315
Ethiopia’s current fiscal policy objective is to achieve sustained increases in
domestic resource mobilisation, public debt sustainability, and the efficient use
of highly concessional resources for poverty reduction and development-related
activities. Within the government’s medium-term economic programme, fiscal
policy stresses two main objectives: (i) the re-orientation of budgetary resources
away from defence toward poverty alleviation outlays; and, (ii) tax reforms
aimed at improving revenue performance. However, the government’s recent
fiscal activities, to a large extent, continue to highlight the significance of donor
support. To this end, and despite the difficult macroeconomic situation of the
past two years, government has pursued efforts to enhance domestic revenue
mobilisation and exercise prudent public expenditure management. Several tax
measures were implemented in 2002/03 to promote revenue mobilisation, one
of which was the introduction of VAT. Efforts were also made to improve tax
administration and collection, including strengthening the large taxpayer unit,
accounting for about 75 percent of total tax revenues, and expanding the activities
of the tax reform taskforce. As a result, total tax revenue rose to the equivalent
of about 13 percent of GDP in 2005/06, although declining to 9.7 percent in
2007/08. In addition, measures are being pursued to collect tax arrears. They
include empowering enforcement and special units to deal with arrears. These
units are expected to be strengthened with the introduction of automated tax
identification numbers (TIN). Fiscal policy has also been increasingly countercyclical in Ethiopia - a relatively low deficit during boom times and high deficits
during periods of downturn - a sharp contrast to the pro-cyclical fiscal policy seen
in most developing countries.
316
According to PASDEP of 2005/06-2009/10, the ongoing tax reform programme
will achieve the following:
• Strengthen revenue collection institutions through restructuring,
adequate staffing and training, particularly for revenue collection,
accounting and audit functions;
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