achieving the MDGs and reducing poverty. The budget has been amended
to help monitor and track MDG expenditure.
144
444.
The government has also made significant progress with restructuring
state enterprises. It implemented a strategy of vigorously commercialising
and privatising key enterprises. In cases where enterprises were not
privatised, they were restructured to make them more commercially
viable. The privatisation exercise has yielded substantial revenue which
could be channelled into social development programmes.
445.
There is evidence that the nonoil sectors have been resuscitated. In time,
this could reduce oil’s dominance in the Nigerian economy. Despite oil’s
substantial contribution to GDP, Nigeria’s recent growth is driven largely
by the nonoil sector. It averaged almost 10 per cent (9.96 per cent) for the
2004 to 2008 period, compared to 0.54 per cent for the oil sector. Indeed,
revised estimates of national accounts (for 1981 to 2006) reveal that the oil
sector contributed less to GDP than was previously estimated. According
to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the oil sector accounted for
21.93 per cent of GDP in 2006 and not 48 per cent, as was previously
estimated (IMF Article 4 Consultations, 2008).
446.
The introduction and implementation of several structures and legislative
frameworks – like the Medium-Term Fiscal Framework (MTFF), the Fiscal
Responsibility Act, the Public Procurement Act and due process – has helped
to improve the management of public finances. In particular, the decision
to distribute oil revenue according to a ‘budget oil price’ (which is below
the market price) has improved the management of public expenditure
by helping to create an Excess Crude Account funded from excess oil
revenue, and by separating fiscal spending at all tiers of government from
fluctuating oil revenues. In effect, there is a conscious attempt to save a
portion of oil windfall gains and to reduce the macrodestabilising effects
associated with massive expenditures, at all tiers of government, during
boom periods.
447.
A number of agencies established to tackle corruption have yielded some
positive results. The Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC)
has successfully investigated and facilitated the prosecution of a number
of high-profile cases. This, together with other measures introduced to
improve transparency and the business environment, has helped to
improve the country’s BB rating by economic performance rating agencies
Fitch Ratings and Standard & Poor’s.
448.
Several challenges remain, however. Despite improvements in the
management of public expenditure, coordinating fiscal policy across
the three tiers of government remains an issue. The newly introduced
Fiscal Responsibility Act is only legally binding at the federal level. Fiscal
responsibility at the subfederal level is yet to be enforced. In fact, there
is currently pressure by state and local governments to spend a greater
portion of oil revenues. Strong and credible leadership is therefore
needed to resist this pressure. Furthermore, a collective understanding of
the benefits of preserving a balance between transferring resources and
meeting the immediate socioeconomic needs of the economy is imperative.
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